Sunday, March 29, 2009

JPY Slumps

The greenback was little changed in the Thursday session, edging slightly higher against the euro toward the 1.35-level while advancing versus the sterling. The yen was the loser on the session amid sharp gains in the US equity bourses, losing ground across the board. The Dow Jones added onto recent sessions’ gains, up 2.25% while the Nasdaq surged by 3.8%.

The US economy contracted by less than expected in Q4, albeit worse than the initial reading. The report revealed Q4 GDP contracted by 6.3%, slightly better than consensus estimates for a 6.5% decline versus the previous estimate of a 6.2% decline. The core PCE in Q4 was slightly higher at 0.9% compared with 0.8% previously, while headline PCE posted a 4.9% decline versus a 5.0% decline in the initial estimate. Meanwhile, the outlook for the US jobs market remains bleak with weekly jobless claims creeping up further to 652k from 646k a week earlier.

Reports slated for release in the Friday session include February consumption, personal income, PCE and the University of Michigan. Markets expect February consumption to decline to 0.2% from 0.6% in January while personal income is seen declining by 0.1% compared with an increase of 0.4% previously. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey final reading is expected to improve to 56.8 in February, up from 56.3 while the current survey is seen declining to 64.1 from 65.5 in January

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